Malaysian Economic Indicators - Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes June 2013 (Updated: 21/08/2013)

Highlights

The Leading Index (LI) which monitors the economic performance in advance showed a decrease of 0.6% to 117.2 points in June 2013, compared with 117.9 points in the previous month. The main components that contributed to the decrease were Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-ferrous Metal (-0.5%), Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index (-0.4%) and Real Imports of Semi Conductors (-0.2%). The annual change of the LI slightly decreased in June 2013 to 3.5% from 4.2% in the preceding month.

The Coincident Index (CI) which measures the current economic activity, also dropped by 0.4% in June 2013. The negative change in the reference month was due to the major decline in Volume Index of Retail Trade (-0.3%) and Real Contributions to EPF (-0.2%). However, the annual change of the CI virtually unchanged in June 2013.

The annual change of the LI remained favourable albeit a lower growth as compared to the previous month. Supported by the level of Diffusion Index for both indexes above 50.0%, this implies that the Malaysian economy should continue to expand in the months ahead.

(The complete indicators on Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes are shown in the following Table 4).

Released by:

THE OFFICE OF CHIEF STATISTICIAN MALAYSIA
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS MALAYSIA
21 AUGUST 2013